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BLACKBOXSTOCKS INC. (BLBX)·Q1 2021 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2021 delivered hypergrowth and a clean operating profit: revenue rose 259% year over year to $1.490M, gross margin expanded to 73.4%, and operating income reached $145k, reflecting scaled subscribers and fixed cost leverage .
  • Year-over-year margin expansion and SG&A increases tied to referral/programmatic marketing and product development; management flagged continued investments to support growth .
  • Management commentary post-Q1 indicated continued strong revenue trajectory driven by technology upgrades and marketing intensity in 1H21 (“expect strong revenue growth to continue”) .
  • Risk flags: material weakness in disclosure controls, going-concern language, and a working capital deficit—tempered by improved cash and reduced financing expense post-refinancing .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Hypergrowth and operating leverage: “Gross margin as a percentage of sales increased from 59.0% to 73.4%… as a result of higher revenues and certain fixed cost of sales” .
    • Positive operating income: Q1 operating income was $145,132 vs a loss of $(230,713) in Q1 2020, reflecting revenue scale and efficiency .
    • Strategic positioning and tech roadmap: CEO highlighted pivotal momentum and capital secured to scale marketing and refinance high-cost debt—“2020 was a pivotal year… looking forward to another banner year in 2021” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Controls: “disclosure controls and procedures… were not effective” at Q1, with limited segregation of duties due to lean staffing .
    • Financing costs and debt overhang: Q1 interest expense of $41,038 and $91,539 amortization of debt discount persisted, though improved vs 2020 financing burden .
    • Working capital deficit remained, albeit improving: deficit of $678,125 at quarter-end, underscoring reliance on subscriber prepayments and debt facilities .

Financial Results

Year-over-year comparison (Q1 2020 → Q1 2021)

MetricQ1 2020Q1 2021
Revenue ($USD)$415,251 $1,489,668
Gross Profit ($USD)$244,899 $1,093,893
Gross Margin %59.0% 73.4%
Operating Income ($USD)$(230,713) $145,132
Net Income ($USD)$42,829 $12,555
Basic EPS ($USD)$0.01 $0.00

Sequential and recent trajectory (Q3 2020 → Q1 2021 → Q2 2021)

MetricQ3 2020Q1 2021Q2 2021
Revenue ($USD)$1,100,329 $1,489,668 $1,463,606
Operating Income ($USD)$85,484 $145,132 $(117,523)
Net Income (Loss) ($USD)$(72,710) $12,555 $(243,336)

KPIs and balance highlights (oldest → newest)

KPIQ3 2020FY 2020Q1 2021
Cash ($USD)$165,477 $972,825 $1,114,468
Unearned Subscriptions ($USD)$416,741 $1,016,157 $1,094,993
Working Capital Deficit ($USD)$(1,869,126) $(990,738) $(678,125)
Total Notes Payable ($USD)$755,850 $1,289,762 $1,197,575

Segment breakdown: Single SaaS/analytics platform; no disclosed segments .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue trajectoryFY 2021N/A“expect strong revenue growth to continue” New qualitative outlook

No quantitative guidance provided on margins, OpEx, tax, or segment specifics in Q1 filings/press releases .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1 context)Current Period (Q1 2021)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesDark Pool Scanner added; TradeStation integration completed in Oct 2020 Live audio/video feature; push notification app; upgrading chat/broadcast Ongoing feature expansion; platform modernization
Marketing & customer acquisition2020 saw user base +309% YoY via marketing; referral program scaled SG&A/advertising up to drive growth; referral/professional services increased Continued spend to scale subscribers
Capital structure & financing$1.0M secured loan (Nov 2020); refi of high-cost convertible debt Lower financing/interest vs 2020; amortization persists Improved cost of capital; debt service ongoing
Regulatory/legal postureNot a broker/exchange; not subject to SEC/FINRA trading platform oversight No change disclosed Stable regulatory stance
R&D/Software developmentElevated software development costs in 2020 Q1 software development costs up YoY (to $130k) supporting features Investment rising with roadmap

Management Commentary

  • “2020 was a pivotal year… we obtained the capital necessary to conduct a sustained marketing initiative that drove an increase in our user base of 309%… we are looking forward to another banner year in 2021.” — Gust Kepler, CEO
  • “We will be implementing new technology designed to allow us to scale even faster and more efficiently during the remainder of fiscal 2021.” — Gust Kepler, CEO
  • Business model: SaaS analytics/social platform scanning 8,000+ stocks and up to 1,000,000 options contracts; integrated social/broadcast features; subscribers in 42 countries .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q1 2021 earnings call transcript was available in the document set; analysis reflects 10-Q and company press releases .
  • Key clarifications in filings: margin expansion drivers (fixed costs and revenue scale) and operating expense mix (referral, consulting, marketing, software development) .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 2021 EPS and revenue was unavailable via our data access; estimate-based comparison cannot be provided at this time.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue scale is translating into operating profit: Q1 operating income of $145k with 73.4% gross margin, up sharply from 59.0% a year ago .
  • Growth investments are deliberate: SG&A and advertising rose alongside subscriber expansion; marketing/referral programs continue to be a growth engine .
  • Liquidity improved: cash rose to $1.114M; working capital deficit narrowed significantly vs 2020, aided by subscriber prepayments (unearned subscriptions) .
  • Financing profile better post-refi: interest/financing expense lower than 2020; amortization of debt discount still impacts reported results .
  • Execution roadmap credible: new features (live A/V, push notifications) and tech upgrades to scale faster in 2021 per management .
  • Risk management: address material weakness in controls and going-concern language; monitor debt service against operating cash generation .
  • Near-term trading angle: print showed hypergrowth and margin expansion; continued feature releases and marketing intensity are catalysts management emphasizes .